Decreasing numbers indicate India is past COVID peak!
Galatta | Oct 19, 2020, 07:03 pm
After being one of the countries to swiftly respond to the COVID-19 Novel Corona Virus Pandemic's outbreak, India soon began recording alarmingly high number of new cases and eventually went on to become the second most affected country, behind only the United States of America. India had been registering close to 1 lakh new COVID cases a day but the trend has reversed in the last couple of days! The number of new cases have been slowing down and reports indicate that the number of recoveries has been significantly higher than the number of new cases for over 17 days, in a row! 27 states and Union Territories had been recording more recoveries than new infections. The overall number of active cases also went down by more than 10,000!
A government appointed committee has stated that India has gone past the Corona Virus peak point and also added that the Pandemic can be brought under control by as early as the end of February 2021, provided all safety measures are strictly followed. However, the Committee has also warned that with the onset of the monsoons and the festival season, any lapses in precautions might lead to a spike in the COVID-19 cases. The recovery rate in India has risen to 88.03 percent. Data revealed in the report shared by the Committee states that about 22 states and Union Territories in India have less than 20,000 active cases each while 10 states and UTs have over 20,000 but less than 50,000 cases and three states - Maharashtra, Kerala and Karnataka, have more than 50,000 active cases.
An official on this Committee also mentioned that the decline in new COVID infections has been complemented by the unbroken rising number of recoveries. The government appointed Covid-19 India National Supermodel Committee, is being headed by Prof. M Vidyasagar of IIT Hyderabad! In the Committee's study titled 'Progression of the Covid-19 Pandemic in India: Prognosis and Lockdown Impacts' - there is also a strong warning that relaxation in safety measures can lead to quite a significant rise in Corona Virus cases, which can even go as high as 26 lakh cases a month. The study also states that only 30 percent of India's population has developed immunity against the deadly virus. Talking about the end of the Pandemic, the study states that if all safety protocols are followed, it can be controlled by early next year and that there would only be very minimal cases by the end of February, 2021! An estimate states that the total number of COVID infections by the time the Pandemic ends, could be about 105 lakhs.